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1.
J Psychosom Res ; 178: 111602, 2024 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38359637

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To analyze the temporal trend of anxiety and depression prevalences up to 2 years of follow-up for COVID-19 patients during the recovery period and to compare regional differences. METHODS: We performed a systematic review from PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, CNKI, Wanfang, and VIP using keywords such as "COVID-19", "anxiety", "depression", and "cohort study". Meta-analysis was performed to estimate the pooled prevalence of anxiety and depression at five follow-up time intervals. Subgroup analyses were conducted by different regions. RESULTS: 34 cohort studies were included in the meta-analyses. The pooled anxiety prevalence rates at 0-1 month, 1-3 months, 3-6 months, 6-12 months and 12-24 months were 18% (95% CI: 11% to 28%), 18% (95% CI: 12% to 28%), 22% (95% CI: 16% to 29%), 15% (95% CI: 11% to 21%), and 10% (95% CI: 0.05% to 20%), respectively, and the pooled depression prevalence rates were 22% (95%CI: 15% to 33%), 19% (95% CI: 13% to 29%), 21% (95% CI: 15% to 28%), 15% (95% CI: 11% to 20%), and 9% (95% CI: 0.4% to 21%) respectively. The prevalence of depression in Asian and non-Asian countries was statistically different at 0-1 month (χ2 = 15.248, P < 0.001) and 1-3 months (χ2 = 28.298, P < 0.001), and prevalence of anxiety was statistically different at 3-6 months (χ2 = 9.986, P = 0.002) and 6-12 months (χ2 = 7.378, P = 0.007). CONCLUSION: The prevalence of anxiety and depression in COVID-19 patients generally tends to decrease after 2 years of recovery, but may temporarily increase at 3-6 months. There are regional differences in the changes in prevalence of anxiety and depression.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Depresión , Humanos , Depresión/epidemiología , Prevalencia , COVID-19/epidemiología , Ansiedad/epidemiología , Trastornos de Ansiedad/epidemiología
2.
Microbiol Spectr ; 11(4): e0180823, 2023 08 17.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37432106

RESUMEN

In the situation of mass vaccination against COVID-19, few studies have reported on the early kinetics of specific antibodies (IgG/IgM/IgA) of vaccine breakthrough cases. There is still a lack of epidemiological evidence about the value of serological indicators in the auxiliary diagnosis of COVID-19 infection, especially when the nucleic acid results were undetectable. Omicron breakthrough cases post-inactivated vaccination (n = 456) and COVID-19-naive individuals with two doses of inactivated vaccination (n = 693) were enrolled. Blood samples were collected and tested for SARS-CoV-2 antibody levels based on the magnetic chemiluminescence enzyme immunoassay. Among Omicron breakthrough cases, the serum IgG antibody level was 36.34 Sample/CutOff (S/CO) (95% confidence interval [CI], 31.89 to 40.79) in the acute phase and 88.45 S/CO (95% CI, 82.79 to 94.12) in the recovery phase. Serum IgA can be detected in the first week post-symptom onset (PSO) and showed an almost linear increase within 5 weeks PSO. Compared with those of breakthrough cases, IgG and IgA titers of the postimmune group were much lower (4.70 S/CO and 0.46 S/CO, respectively). Multivariate regression showed that serum IgG and IgA levels in Omicron breakthrough cases were mainly affected by the weeks PSO (P < 0.001). Receiver operating characteristic ROC0 curve analysis showed that the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.744 and 0.806 when the cutoff values of IgA and IgG were 1 S/CO and 15 S/CO, respectively. Omicron breakthrough infection can lead to a further increase in IgG and IgA levels relative to those of the immunized population. When nucleic acid real-time PCR was negative, we would use the kinetics of IgG and IgA levels to distinguish the breakthrough cases from the immunized population. IMPORTANCE This study fills a gap in the epidemiological evidence by investigating the value of serological indicators, particularly IgG and IgA levels, in the auxiliary diagnosis of COVID-19 infections when nucleic acid results are undetectable. The findings reveal that among Omicron breakthrough cases, both IgG and IgA antibody levels exhibit significant changes. Serum IgG levels increase during the acute phase and rise further in the recovery phase. Serum IgA can be detected as early as the first week post-symptom onset (PSO), showing a consistent linear increase within 5 weeks PSO. Furthermore, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis demonstrates the potential of IgG and IgA cutoff values as diagnostic markers. The study's conclusion underscores the importance of monitoring IgG and IgA kinetics in distinguishing Omicron breakthrough cases from vaccinated individuals. These findings contribute to the development of more accurate diagnostic approaches and help inform public health strategies during the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Ácidos Nucleicos , Humanos , COVID-19/diagnóstico , Pandemias , SARS-CoV-2 , Anticuerpos Antivirales , Inmunoglobulina G , Inmunoglobulina A
3.
Comput Methods Programs Biomed ; 230: 107326, 2023 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36608431

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: The development of acute aortic dissection (AD) remains unpredictable due to the intricate nature of the AD mechanism and the varied patient-specific aortic anatomy. The aim of this study was to simulate the hemodynamic parameters in the aortas before the onset of TBAD with healthy controls. METHODS: This study numerically assessed the effectiveness of hemodynamic indicators in predicting the risk of type B AD (TBAD) by investigating the differences in hemodynamic parameters between healthy and repaired aortas (aortas before TBAD development). Four wall shear stress (WSS)-based indicators and three helicity-based indicators were adopted and analyzed. RESULTS: The results showed that more pathological anatomical feathers can be observed in the repaired aortas. For WSS-based indicators, only averaged cross flow index (CFI) and oscillatory shear index OSI (CFI, 1.03 ± 0.07 vs. 0.83 ± 0.10 and OSI, 0.12 ± 0.03 vs. 0.04 ± 0.02) (all p<0.001) were significantly higher in the repaired aortas than those in the healthy aortas. On the other hand, average helicity in the repaired aortas also showed a significant difference compared with that in healthy aortas (h1, 3.88 ± 5.55 vs. -8.03 ± 14.16) (p<0.05). Furthermore, the skewed helical structure and flow disturbance was found in the repaired aortas. CONCLUSION: 1) There are marked differences in pathological anatomical features, such as aortic dilation, elongation and tortuosity between the healthy aortas and repaired aortas, and the corresponding hemodynamic indicators also have also been significantly changed. 2) Compared with anatomical characteristics, hemodynamic indicators may be more accurate for predicting the risk and location of TBAD, such as the OSI and CFI index were significantly enhanced in the region where the entry tears have occurred. 3) In clinical practice, anatomical features remain important factors for assessing the risk for development of TBAD; however, hemodynamic analyses with quantitative data and more visualizing characteristics have showed promising potential in this aspect.


Asunto(s)
Aorta Torácica , Disección Aórtica , Humanos , Aorta Torácica/patología , Hemodinámica , Aorta , Factores de Riesgo
4.
Comput Methods Programs Biomed ; 221: 106872, 2022 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35594583

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: The underlying mechanism of aortic dissection (AD) remains unclear and the onset of AD is still unpredictable. Although clinical study with statistical analysis has reported that type III aortic arch may have strong correlation with type B AD (TBD), the effects of different arch types on the wall shear stress (WSS) have not been clarified. METHODS: As a complementary work, this study numerically investigated the distribution of five WSS-based indicators in thirty aortic arches without AD, which were classified into three groups based on the arch types. RESULTS: The distribution of most WSS indicators, such as time averaged WSS (TAWSS), oscillatory shear index (OSI) and relative residence time (RRT) had no significant difference among different types of aortic arches (P>0.05). However, a multidirectional WSS index, namely CFI, was found its maximum value was positively correlated with type III aortic arch in proximal descending aorta (p<0.001, r = 0.65). CONCLUSIONS: It can be concluded that the enhancement or oscillation of WSS may not be the main reason of TBD is prevalence in type III arches, while the multidirectional WSS distribution may be an important factor. It can be further referred that the CFI may have a potential to predict the onset of TBD.


Asunto(s)
Aorta Torácica , Disección Aórtica , Disección Aórtica/diagnóstico por imagen , Aorta Torácica/diagnóstico por imagen , Velocidad del Flujo Sanguíneo , Hemodinámica , Humanos , Flujo Sanguíneo Regional , Estrés Mecánico , Tórax
6.
PLoS One ; 16(11): e0259706, 2021.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34797849

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: China is vulnerable to zoonotic disease transmission due to a large agricultural work force, sizable domestic livestock population, and a highly biodiverse ecology. To better address this threat, representatives from the human, animal, and environmental health sectors in China held a One Health Zoonotic Disease Prioritization (OHZDP) workshop in May 2019 to develop a list of priority zoonotic diseases for multisectoral, One Health collaboration. METHODS: Representatives used the OHZDP Process, developed by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (US CDC), to prioritize zoonotic diseases for China. Representatives defined the criteria used for prioritization and determined questions and weights for each individual criterion. A review of English and Chinese literature was conducted prior to the workshop to collect disease specific information on prevalence, morbidity, mortality, and Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs) from China and the Western Pacific Region for zoonotic diseases considered for prioritization. RESULTS: Thirty zoonotic diseases were evaluated for prioritization. Criteria selected included: 1) disease hazard/severity (case fatality rate) in humans, 2) epidemic scale and intensity (in humans and animals) in China, 3) economic impact, 4) prevention and control, and 5) social impact. Disease specific information was obtained from 792 articles (637 in English and 155 in Chinese) and subject matter experts for the prioritization process. Following discussion of the OHZDP Tool output among disease experts, five priority zoonotic diseases were identified for China: avian influenza, echinococcosis, rabies, plague, and brucellosis. CONCLUSION: Representatives agreed on a list of five priority zoonotic diseases that can serve as a foundation to strengthen One Health collaboration for disease prevention and control in China; this list was developed prior to the emergence of SARS-CoV-2 and the COVID-19 pandemic. Next steps focused on establishing a multisectoral, One Health coordination mechanism, improving multisectoral linkages in laboratory testing and surveillance platforms, creating multisectoral preparedness and response plans, and increasing workforce capacity.


Asunto(s)
Conferencias de Consenso como Asunto , Zoonosis/prevención & control , Animales , China , Humanos , Zoonosis/epidemiología , Zoonosis/transmisión
7.
Microbiol Spectr ; 9(2): e0059021, 2021 10 31.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34550000

RESUMEN

To assess the persistence of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) antibodies produced by natural infection and describe the serological characteristics over 7 months after symptom onset among coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients by age and severity group, we followed up COVID-19 convalescent patients confirmed from 1 January to 20 March 2020 in Jiangsu, China and collected serum samples for testing IgM/IgG and neutralizing antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 between 26 August and 28 October 2020. In total, 284 recovered participants with COVID-19 were enrolled in our study. Patients had a mean age of 46.72 years (standard deviation [SD], 17.09), and 138 (48.59%) were male. The median follow-up time after symptom onset was 225.5 (interquartile range [IQR], 219 to 232) days. During the follow-up period (162 to 282 days after symptom onset), the seropositive rate of IgM fluctuated around 25.70% (95% confidence interval [CI], 20.72% to 31.20%) and that of IgG fluctuated around 79.93% (95% CI, 74.79% to 84.43%). Of the 284 patients, 64 participants were tested when discharged from hospital. Compared with that at the acute phase, the IgM/IgG antibody levels and IgM seropositivity have decreased; however, the seropositivity of IgG was not significantly lower at this follow-up (78.13% versus 82.81%). Fifty percent inhibitory dilution (ID50) titers of neutralizing antibody for samples when discharged from hospital (geometric mean titer [GMT], 82; 95% CI, 56 to 121) were significantly higher than those at 6 to 7 months after discharge (GMT, 47; 95% CI, 35 to 63) (P < 0.001). After 7 months from symptom onset, the convalescent COVID-19 patients continued to have high IgG seropositive; however, many plasma samples decreased neutralizing activity. IMPORTANCE The long-term characteristics of anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies among COVID-19 patients remain largely unclear. Tracking the longevity of these antibodies can provide a forward-looking reference for monitoring COVID-19. We conducted a comprehensive assessment combining the kinetics of specific and neutralizing antibodies over 7 months with age and disease severity and revealed influencing factors of the protection period of convalescent patients. By observing the long-term antibody levels against SARS-CoV-2 and comparing antibody levels at two time points after symptom onset, we found that the convalescent COVID-19 patients continued to have a high IgG seropositive rate; however, their plasma samples decreased neutralizing activity. These findings provide evidence supporting that the neutralizing activity of SARS-CoV-2-infected persons should be monitored and the administration of vaccine may be needed.


Asunto(s)
Anticuerpos Neutralizantes/sangre , Anticuerpos Antivirales/sangre , Inmunoglobulina G/sangre , Inmunoglobulina M/sangre , SARS-CoV-2/inmunología , Adolescente , Adulto , Anticuerpos Neutralizantes/inmunología , Anticuerpos Antivirales/inmunología , COVID-19/inmunología , Niño , Femenino , Humanos , Inmunoglobulina G/inmunología , Inmunoglobulina M/inmunología , Memoria Inmunológica/inmunología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adulto Joven
8.
Med Sci Monit ; 27: e929986, 2021 Apr 17.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33863868

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND This retrospective study aimed to investigate the factors associated with disease severity and patient outcomes in 631 patients with COVID-19 who were reported to the Jiangsu Commission of Health between January 1 and March 20, 2020. MATERIAL AND METHODS We conducted an epidemiological investigation enrolling 631 patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 from our clinic from January to March 2020. Patients' information was collected through a standard questionnaire. Then, we described the patients' epidemiological characteristics, analyzed risk factors associated with disease severity, and assessed causes of zero mortality. Additionally, some key technologies for epidemic prevention and control were identified. RESULTS Of the 631 patients, 8.46% (n=53) were severe cases, and no deaths were recorded (n=0). The epidemic of COVID-19 has gone through 4 stages: a sporadic phase, an exponential growth phase, a peak plateau phase, and a declining phase. The proportion of severe cases was significantly different among the 4 stages and 13 municipal prefectures (P<0.001). Factors including age >65 years old, underlying medical conditions, highest fever >39.0°C, dyspnea, and lymphocytopenia (<1.0×109/L) were early warning signs of disease severity (P<0.05). In contrast, earlier clinic visits were associated with better patient outcomes (P=0.029). Further, the viral load was a potentially useful marker associated with COVID-19 infection severity. CONCLUSIONS The study findings from the beginning of the COVID-19 epidemic in Jiangsu Province, China showed that patients who were more than 65 years of age and with comorbidities and presented with a fever of more than 39.0°C developed more severe disease. However, mortality was prevented in this initial patient population by early supportive clinical management.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19/epidemiología , SARS-CoV-2 , Adulto , Anciano , COVID-19/diagnóstico , COVID-19/historia , COVID-19/virología , China/epidemiología , Comorbilidad , Femenino , Geografía Médica , Historia del Siglo XXI , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Mortalidad , Sistemas de Lectura Abierta , Vigilancia de la Población , ARN Viral , Reacción en Cadena en Tiempo Real de la Polimerasa , Factores de Riesgo , SARS-CoV-2/clasificación , SARS-CoV-2/genética , Estaciones del Año , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Carga Viral
9.
Epidemiol Infect ; 149: e48, 2021 02 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33563364

RESUMEN

To understand the characteristics and influencing factors related to cluster infections in Jiangsu Province, China, we investigated case reports to explore transmission dynamics and influencing factors of scales of cluster infection. The effectiveness of interventions was assessed by changes in the time-dependent reproductive number (Rt). From 25th January to 29th February, Jiangsu Province reported a total of 134 clusters involving 617 cases. Household clusters accounted for 79.85% of the total. The time interval from onset to report of index cases was 8 days, which was longer than that of secondary cases (4 days) (χ2 = 22.763, P < 0.001) and had a relationship with the number of secondary cases (the correlation coefficient (r) = 0.193, P = 0.040). The average interval from onset to report was different between family cluster cases (4 days) and community cluster cases (7 days) (χ2 = 28.072, P < 0.001). The average time interval from onset to isolation of patients with secondary infection (5 days) was longer than that of patients without secondary infection (3 days) (F = 9.761, P = 0.002). Asymptomatic patients and non-familial clusters had impacts on the size of the clusters. The average reduction in the Rt value in family clusters (26.00%, 0.26 ± 0.22) was lower than that in other clusters (37.00%, 0.37 ± 0.26) (F = 4.400, P = 0.039). Early detection of asymptomatic patients and early reports of non-family clusters can effectively weaken cluster infections.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19/epidemiología , Coinfección/epidemiología , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , COVID-19/virología , Niño , Preescolar , China/epidemiología , Análisis por Conglomerados , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adulto Joven
10.
Front Public Health ; 9: 791600, 2021.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35004593

RESUMEN

Background: At present, the global sever acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) situation is still grim, and the risk of local outbreaks caused by imported viruses is high. Therefore, it is necessary to monitor the genomic variation and genetic evolution characteristics of SARS-CoV-2. The main purpose of this study was to detect the entry of different SARS-CoV-2 variants into Jiangsu Province, China. Methods: First, oropharyngeal swabs were collected from 165 patients (55 locally confirmed cases and 110 imported cases with confirmed and asymptomatic infection) diagnosed with SARS-CoV-2 infection in Jiangsu Province, China between January 2020 and June 2021. Then, whole genome sequencing was used to explore the phylogeny and find potential mutations in genes of the SARS-CoV-2. Last, association analysis among clinical characteristics and SARS-CoV-2 Variant of Concern, pedigree surveillance analysis of SARS-COV-2, and single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) detection in SARS-COV-2 samples was performed. Results: More men were infected with the SARS-CoV-2 when compared with women. The onset of the SARS-CoV-2 showed a trend of younger age. Moreover, the number of asymptomatic infected patients was large, similar to the number of common patients. Patients infected with Alpha (50%) and Beta (90%) variants were predominantly asymptomatic, while patients infected with Delta (17%) variant presented severe clinical features. A total of 935 SNPs were detected in 165 SARS-COV-2 samples. Among which, missense mutation (58%) was the dominant mutation type. About 56% of SNPs changes occurred in the open reading frame 1ab (ORF1ab) gene. Approximately, 20% of SNP changes occurred in spike glycoprotein (S) gene, such as p.Asp501Tyr, p.Pro681His, and p.Pro681Arg. In total, nine SNPs loci in S gene were significantly correlated with the severity of patients. It is worth mentioning that amino acid substitution of p.Asp614Gly was significantly positively correlated with the clinical severity of patients. The amino acid replacements of p.Ser316Thr and p.Lu484Lys were significantly negatively correlated with the course of disease. Conclusion: Sever acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) may further undergo a variety of mutations in different hosts, countries, and weather conditions. Detecting the entry of different virus variants of SARS-CoV-2 into Jiangsu Province, China may help to monitor the spread of infection and the diversity of eventual recombination or genomic mutations.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/virología , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Filogenia , Estudios Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2/genética
11.
Transbound Emerg Dis ; 68(2): 773-781, 2021 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32725765

RESUMEN

We investigated an outbreak of COVID-19 infection, which was traced back to a bathing pool at an entertainment venue, to explore the epidemiology of the outbreak, understand the transmissibility of the virus and analyse the influencing factors. Contact investigation and management were conducted to identify potential cases. Epidemiological investigation was carried out to determine the epidemiological and demographic characteristics of the outbreak. We estimated the secondary attack rate (SAR), incubation time and time-dependent reproductive number (Rt ) and explored the predisposing factors for cluster infection. The incubation time was 5.4 days and the serial interval (SI) was 4.4 days, with the rate of negative-valued SIs at 24.5%. The SAR at the bathing pool (3.3%) was relatively low due to its high temperature and humidity. The SAR was higher in the colleagues' cluster (20.5%) than in the family cluster (11.8%). Super-spreaders had a longer isolation delay time (p = .004). The Rt of the cluster decreased from the highest value of 3.88 on January 27, 2020 to 1.22 on February 6. Our findings suggest that the predisposing factors of the outbreak included close contact with an infected person, airtight and crowded spaces, temperature and humidity in the space and untimely isolation of patients and quarantine of contacts at the early stage of transmission. Measures to reduce the risk of infection at these gatherings and subsequent tracking of close contacts were effective.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19/diagnóstico , Brotes de Enfermedades , SARS-CoV-2 , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , COVID-19/transmisión , Niño , Preescolar , China/epidemiología , Trazado de Contacto , Transmisión de Enfermedad Infecciosa , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adulto Joven
12.
Transbound Emerg Dis ; 67(5): 2118-2125, 2020 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32248624

RESUMEN

Avian influenza A(H5N6) keeps evolving, causing outbreaks in birds and sporadic infections in human. Here, we report a fatal paediatric infection caused by a novel reassortant H5N6 virus. The patient was an obese 9-year-old girl. She initiated with fever and cough, then developed pneumonia, acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) and respiratory failure. Lower respiratory tract aspirates and anal swabs were serially taken till the patient's death. Viral isolation, genome sequencing and phylogenetic analysis were conducted. A novel reassortant H5N6 virus was isolated from the patient. Except the PA gene, all other 7 genes of the virus belonged to H5N6 genotype A (S4-like virus). The PA gene was probably obtained from Eurasian waterfowl influenza viruses. The H5N6 virus was consistently detected from the patient's respiratory samples till the 17th day after symptom onset, but not from anal swabs or urine sample by real-time reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). Significantly elevated (32-fold) serum antibodies to H5N6 virus were observed during the patient's course of disease. Aside from the identified novel reassortant H5N6 viral strain, obesity, delayed confirmation of aetiology and specific antiviral treatment, and prolonged virus shedding could have contributed to the poor clinical outcome.

13.
Influenza Other Respir Viruses ; 14(5): 587-595, 2020 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32157809

RESUMEN

In spring 2013, a novel avian-origin influenza A (H7N9) virus emerged in mainland China. The burden of H7N9 infection was estimated based on systematic review and meta-analysis. The systematic search for available literature was conducted using Chinese and English databases. We calculated the pooled seroprevalence of H7N9 infection and its 95% confidence interval by using Freeman-Tukey double arcsine transformation. Out of 16 890 records found using Chinese and English databases, 54 articles were included in the meta-analysis. These included studies of a total of 64 107 individuals. The pooled seroprevalence of H7N9 infection among humans was 0.122% (95% CI: 0.023, 0.275). In high-risk populations, the highest pooled seroprevalence was observed among close contacts (1.075%, 95% CI: 0.000, 4.357). The seroprevalence among general population was (0.077%, 95% CI: 0.011, 0.180). Our study discovered that asymptomatic infection of H7N9 virus did occur, even if the seroprevalence among humans was low.


Asunto(s)
Subtipo H7N9 del Virus de la Influenza A , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Gripe Humana/inmunología , Zoonosis/epidemiología , Animales , Pollos , China/epidemiología , Costo de Enfermedad , Humanos , Gripe Aviar/epidemiología , Gripe Aviar/transmisión , Gripe Humana/mortalidad , Factores de Riesgo , Estaciones del Año , Estudios Seroepidemiológicos , Zoonosis/transmisión
14.
J Infect Dis ; 220(11): 1780-1789, 2019 10 22.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31622983

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Avian influenza A H7N9 (A/H7N9) is characterized by rapid progressive pneumonia and respiratory failure. Mortality among laboratory-confirmed cases is above 30%; however, the clinical course of disease is variable and patients at high risk for death are not well characterized. METHODS: We obtained demographic, clinical, and laboratory information on all A/H7N9 patients in Zhejiang province from China Centers for Disease Control and Prevention electronic databases. Risk factors for death were identified using logistic regression and a risk score was created using regression coefficients from multivariable models. We externally validated this score in an independent cohort from Jiangsu province. RESULTS: Among 305 A/H7N9 patients, 115 (37.7%) died. Four independent predictors of death were identified: older age, diabetes, bilateral lung infection, and neutrophil percentage. We constructed a score with 0-13 points. Mortality rates in low- (0-3), medium- (4-6), and high-risk (7-13) groups were 4.6%, 32.1%, and 62.7% (Ptrend < .0001). In a validation cohort of 111 A/H7N9 patients, 61 (55%) died. Mortality rates in low-, medium-, and high-risk groups were 35.5%, 55.8, and 67.4% (Ptrend = .0063). CONCLUSIONS: We developed and validated a simple-to-use, predictive risk score for clinical use, identifying patients at high mortality risk.


Asunto(s)
Subtipo H7N9 del Virus de la Influenza A/aislamiento & purificación , Gripe Humana/mortalidad , Gripe Humana/virología , Adulto , Anciano , Animales , China/epidemiología , Reglas de Decisión Clínica , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Pronóstico , Medición de Riesgo , Análisis de Supervivencia
15.
Sci Total Environ ; 645: 684-691, 2018 Dec 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30031326

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to evaluate and quantify the association between ambient temperature and activity of influenza like illness (ILI) and influenza in Jiangsu Province, China. METHOD: Daily data of meteorology, influenza-like illness and detected influenza virus from 1 April 2013 to 27 March 2016 were collected. Distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) was used to quantify the exposure-lag-response of ILI and influenza activity to daily average temperature. RESULT: Influenza A virus (Flu-A) circulated throughout the year with two peaks at -4 °C and 28 °C respectively, while influenza B (Flu-B) viruses were usually tested positive in winter or early spring and peaked at 5 °C. The lag-response curves revealed that the RR of ILI increased with time and peaked 1 day later at low temperature (3 °C), however, the maximum RR of ILI caused by high temperature (26 °C) appeared immediately on day 0, the similar phenomena of immediate effect to ILI at high temperature were also observed in the lag-response curve for Flu-A or Flu-B. CONCLUSION: ILI and Flu-A experienced two peaks of circulates at both low and high temperature in Jiangsu. The influenza viruses activity did drive up the rising of ILI%, particularly the activity of Flu-A which circulated throughout the year played a crucial role. Regional homogeneity was the relatively mainstream in aspects of cumulative association between influenza activity and temperature in Jiangsu Province.


Asunto(s)
Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/estadística & datos numéricos , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Temperatura , China/epidemiología , Humanos , Meteorología , Estaciones del Año
16.
Arch Virol ; 163(7): 1779-1793, 2018 Jul.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29541846

RESUMEN

Five epidemic waves of human infection with influenza A (H7N9) virus have emerged in China since spring 2013. We previously described the epidemiological characterization of the fifth wave in Jiangsu province. In this study, 41 H7N9 viruses from patients and live-poultry markets were isolated and sequenced to further elucidate the genetic features of viruses of the fifth wave in Jiangsu province. Phylogenetic analysis revealed substantial genetic diversity in the internal genes, and 18 genotypes were identified from the 41 H7N9 virus strains. Furthermore, our data revealed that 41 isolates from Jiangsu contained the G186V and Q226L/I mutations in their haemagglutinin (HA) protein, which may increase the ability of these viruses to bind the human receptor. Four basic amino acid insertions were not observed in the HA cleavage sites of 167 H7N9 viruses from Jiangsu, which revealed that highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) H7N9 viruses did not spread to Jiangsu province in the fifth wave. These findings revealed that multiple genotypes of H7N9 viruses co-circulated in the fifth wave in Jiangsu province, which indicated that the viruses have undergone ongoing evolution with genetic mutation and reassortment. Our study highlights the need to constantly monitor the evolution of H7N9 viruses and reinforce systematic influenza surveillance of humans, birds, and pigs in China.


Asunto(s)
Subtipo H7N9 del Virus de la Influenza A/genética , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Gripe Humana/virología , Animales , China/epidemiología , Epidemias , Variación Genética , Genoma Viral , Genotipo , Glicoproteínas Hemaglutininas del Virus de la Influenza/genética , Humanos , Subtipo H7N9 del Virus de la Influenza A/aislamiento & purificación , Subtipo H7N9 del Virus de la Influenza A/patogenicidad , Subtipo H7N9 del Virus de la Influenza A/fisiología , Gripe Aviar/epidemiología , Gripe Aviar/transmisión , Gripe Aviar/virología , Gripe Humana/transmisión , Mutación , Filogenia , Aves de Corral/virología , Enfermedades de las Aves de Corral/epidemiología , Enfermedades de las Aves de Corral/transmisión , Enfermedades de las Aves de Corral/virología , Virus Reordenados/genética
17.
Sci Bull (Beijing) ; 63(16): 1043-1050, 2018 08 30.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32288966

RESUMEN

Human infections with influenza H7 subtypes, such as H7N9, have raised concerns worldwide. Here, we report a human infection with a novel influenza A(H7N4) virus. A 68 years-old woman with cardiovascular and cholecystic comorbidities developed rapidly progressed pneumonia with influenza-like-illness as initial symptom, recovered after 23 days-hospitalization including 8 days in ICU. Laboratory indicators for liver and blood coagulation dysfunction were observed. Oseltamivir phosphate, glucocorticoids and antibiotics were jointly implemented, with nasal catheterization of oxygen inhalation for this patient. We obtained the medical records and collected serial respiratory and blood specimens from her. We collected throat, cloacal and/or feces samples of poultry and wild birds from the patient's backyard, neighborhood, local live poultry markets (LPMs) and the nearest lake. All close contacts of the patient were followed up and sampled with throat swabs and sera. Influenza viruses and other respiratory pathogens were tested by real-time RT-PCR, viral culturing and/or sequencing for human respiratory and bird samples. Micro-neutralizing assay was performed for sera. A novel reassortant wild bird-origin H7N4 virus is identified from the patient and her backyard poultry (chickens and ducks) by sequencing, which is distinct from previously-reported avian H7N4 and H7N9 viruses. At least four folds increase of neutralizing antibodies to H7N4 was detected in her convalescent sera. No samples from close contacts, wild birds or other poultry were tested positive for H7N4 by real-time RT-PCR.

18.
Influenza Other Respir Viruses ; 11(5): 418-424, 2017 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28675634

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Four epidemic waves of human infection with H7N9 have been recorded in China up to 1 June 2016, including in Jiangsu Province. However, few studies have investigated the differences in patients' characteristics among the four epidemic waves, and the analyses of factors associated with fatal infection lacked statistical power in previous studies due to limited sample size. METHODS: All laboratory-confirmed A(H7N9) patients in Jiangsu province were analysed. Patients' characteristics were compared across four waves and between survivors and those who died. Multivariate analyses were used to identify independent predictors of death. RESULTS: Significant differences were found in the lengths of several time intervals (from onset of disease to laboratory confirmation, to onset of ARDS and respiratory failure, and to death) and in the development of heart failure. The proportions of overweight patients and rural patients increased significantly across the four waves. Administration of glucocorticoids and double-dose neuraminidase inhibitors became the norm. Predictors of death included complications such as ARDS, heart failure and septic shock, administration of glucocorticoids, and disease duration. CONCLUSION: Characteristics of H7N9 patients and clinical treatment options changed over time. Particular complications and the use of particular treatment, along with disease duration, could help clinicians predict the outcome of H7N9 infections.


Asunto(s)
Epidemias , Subtipo H7N9 del Virus de la Influenza A , Gripe Humana/mortalidad , Adulto , Anciano , China/epidemiología , Brotes de Enfermedades/prevención & control , Femenino , Glucocorticoides/uso terapéutico , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/etiología , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/mortalidad , Humanos , Subtipo H7N9 del Virus de la Influenza A/aislamiento & purificación , Subtipo H7N9 del Virus de la Influenza A/patogenicidad , Gripe Humana/complicaciones , Gripe Humana/tratamiento farmacológico , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Análisis Multivariante , Sobrepeso/complicaciones , Sobrepeso/mortalidad , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Síndrome de Dificultad Respiratoria/epidemiología , Síndrome de Dificultad Respiratoria/etiología , Síndrome de Dificultad Respiratoria/mortalidad , Factores de Riesgo , Población Rural/estadística & datos numéricos
19.
Euro Surveill ; 22(13)2017 Mar 30.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28382916

RESUMEN

Since first identified in 2013, the H7N9 virus has caused several waves of human infections in China, with a current wave including a number of patients with very severe disease. Jiangsu is one of the most impacted provinces, whereby as of 31 January 2017, the number of human infections (n = 109) in the ongoing fifth H7N9 wave has exceeded the sum of those in the four preceding ones. Ten of 13 cities in Jiangsu have been affected, and clustered infections as well as one co-infection with seasonal influenza have been observed. With a median age of 58 years and 74.3% (81/109) of patients being male, the characteristics of cases are similar to those in previous waves, however patients with H7N9 seem to have an accelerated disease progression. Preliminary case fatality remains above 30%. No significant viral mutations have been found in key functional loci. Environmental H7N9 detection rate and number of days with high risk ambient temperatures were both significantly elevated during the month of December 2016 when most human infections were reported. A number of municipal governments in Jiangsu have implemented live poultry market closures to impede viral transmission to humans. A detectable decline in human infections has been observed in these municipalities and the entire province since January 2017.


Asunto(s)
Contaminación Ambiental/efectos adversos , Subtipo H7N9 del Virus de la Influenza A/aislamiento & purificación , Gripe Aviar/transmisión , Gripe Humana/virología , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Animales , China/epidemiología , Brotes de Enfermedades , Monitoreo del Ambiente , Contaminación Ambiental/prevención & control , Femenino , Humanos , Gripe Aviar/epidemiología , Gripe Humana/tratamiento farmacológico , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Gripe Humana/prevención & control , Gripe Humana/transmisión , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Aves de Corral , Riesgo , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad
20.
Hum Vaccin Immunother ; 13(6): 1-6, 2017 06 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28362208

RESUMEN

A phase-1 clinical trial aimed to assess the safety and immunogenicity of the type-5 adenovirus vector based Ebola vaccine (Ad5-EBOV) was conducted in China. To provide more evidence for the safety evaluation and dose-selection, an exploratory sub-study using a wireless automatic temperature measuring platform was done based on the phase-1 clinical trial. The main aim of the sub-study was to obtain more information about the occurrence of fever and detect the potential associated factors, second was to assess the feasibility of the temperature measuring platform in vaccine clinical trials. Temperature data of 3 treatment groups all presented a rising tendency during the first 6 hours after vaccination, the incidence of elevated temperature and possible associated factors were analyzed. For the incidence of elevated temperature, no marked dose-response relationship was found in 6 hours with wireless thermometers; the information from mercury thermometers showed that the grade-1 fever proportion peaked at 6 hours and there was no difference between groups, while grade-2 fever proportion peaked at 24 hours and was significantly higher in high-dose group than those in the other 2 groups. Significant differences were found between sex groups (males vs. female, incidence rate ratios (IRR) = 2.93 and 7.62 for any-grade, grade-2 fever respectively, P<0.001); a decline in grade-2 fever incidence was found with the increasing age groups (IRR = 0.78, P = 0.003) and body mass index (BMI, IRR = 0.67, P<0.001) .Our findings show that the dose-dependent manner between fever and the dose of Ad5-EBOV in this study might emerge after 6 hours, and which is slight and transient. Wireless thermometers secured on the skin surface are not suitable for a long time (longer than 6 hours) measurement, new methods for temperature monitoring, like ear temperature measurement, should be tested in the further research.


Asunto(s)
Vacunas contra el Virus del Ébola/administración & dosificación , Vacunas contra el Virus del Ébola/efectos adversos , Fiebre/inducido químicamente , Fiebre/epidemiología , Fiebre Hemorrágica Ebola/prevención & control , Adolescente , Adulto , China , Método Doble Ciego , Vacunas contra el Virus del Ébola/inmunología , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adulto Joven
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